Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 3.665869 4.231527 4.853148 5.586657 6.428296 7.363596 8.481709
2025-01-05 2.929651 3.681329 4.576972 5.721722 7.145158 8.856228 11.069050
2025-01-12 2.350740 3.181316 4.243269 5.698232 7.637878 10.133014 13.585874
2025-01-19 1.829734 2.647239 3.760835 5.384596 7.688252 10.836114 15.462495
2025-01-26 1.599851 2.457127 3.692842 5.597479 8.453223 12.569965 18.951084
2025-02-02 1.461260 2.369242 3.746813 5.979322 9.497756 14.819840 23.473153
2025-02-09 1.292247 2.203305 3.652725 6.113274 10.173724 16.594016 27.502037
2025-02-16 1.141378 2.039478 3.532792 6.179573 10.737727 18.246641 31.532982
2025-02-23 0.978304 1.827498 3.299740 6.017702 10.890591 19.233811 34.570775
2025-03-02 0.825660 1.608880 3.021674 5.732609 10.781463 19.746803 36.831554
2025-03-09 0.741336 1.502559 2.927313 5.761160 11.228691 21.270861 41.055994
2025-03-16 0.648638 1.365630 2.756257 5.619629 11.335097 22.178640 44.236619
2025-03-23 0.615578 1.345689 2.812457 5.937498 12.387585 25.021351 51.540786
2025-03-30 0.574010 1.301925 2.815504 6.149736 13.260138 27.626855 58.720096
2025-04-06 0.518949 1.220557 2.729699 6.165028 13.729685 29.486762 64.624971
2025-04-13 0.444078 1.083067 2.504799 5.848797 13.451206 29.773670 67.270867
2025-04-20 0.420853 1.061243 2.531027 6.093355 14.432372 32.838909 76.287765
2025-04-27 0.411388 1.070819 2.629616 6.516833 15.872025 37.069777 88.408957
2025-05-04 0.384795 1.033849 2.613937 6.667697 16.696490 40.020212 97.967621
2025-05-11 0.356419 0.987822 2.569866 6.742916 17.348715 42.649176 107.090161
2025-05-18 0.317977 0.909142 2.433704 6.568352 17.363097 43.775350 112.735884
2025-05-25 0.277752 0.818999 2.255230 6.258712 16.992345 43.919709 115.962621
2025-06-01 0.257340 0.781049 2.208355 6.290394 17.509511 46.318655 125.170131